The 2022 United States Senate election in Idaho was held on November 8, 2022 to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Idaho.

Incumbent Republican Senator Mike Crapo was first elected in 1998 and ran for reelection to a fifth term in office.[1][2] Primary elections were held on May 17, 2022. Crapo easily won renomination, while former Idaho House of Representatives candidate David Roth won the Democratic primary with 57.8% of the vote. Crapo ultimately won the election, but this was the lowest share of the vote he has ever received for this seat, partially because of an Independent candidate, Scott Cleveland, taking away some of his votes.[3]

The election also sought both the worst performance by a Republican, and the best performance by a Democrat in the Class 3 seat since 1992. It also showed the best performance a Third Party or Independent candidate had performed since Glen H. Taylor's Write-in campaign in 1956.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Failed to file

Withdrawn

Endorsements

Results

Results by county
  Crapo
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
Republican primary results[18]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanMike Crapo (incumbent) 177,906 67.13%
RepublicanScott Trotter27,69910.45%
RepublicanBrenda Bourn21,6128.16%
RepublicanRamont Turnbull20,8837.88%
RepublicanNatalie Fleming16,9026.38%
Total votes265,002 100.0%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Ben Pursley, real estate developer[19]

Results

Results by county
  Roth
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   100%
  Pursley
  •   50-60%
Democratic primary results[18]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticDavid Roth 19,160 57.80%
DemocraticBen Pursley13,98742.20%
Total votes33,147 100.0%

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Libertarian primary results[18]
PartyCandidateVotes%
LibertarianIdaho Sierra Law 673 100.0%
Total votes673 100.0%

Constitution primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Ray Writz, nominee for U.S. Senate in 2016 and 2020

Results

Constitution primary results[18]
PartyCandidateVotes%
ConstitutionRay Writz 520 100.0%
Total votes520 100.0%

Independents

Candidates

Declared

  • Scott Cleveland, entrepreneur[20][8]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[21]Solid RMarch 4, 2022
Inside Elections[22]Solid RApril 1, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23]Safe RMarch 1, 2022
Politico[24]Solid RApril 1, 2022
RCP[25]Safe RFebruary 24, 2022
Fox News[26]Solid RMay 12, 2022
DDHQ[27]Solid RJuly 20, 2022
538[28]Solid RJune 30, 2022
The Economist[29]Safe RSeptember 7, 2022

Endorsements

Debates

2022 United States Senate general election in Idaho debates
No.DateHostModeratorLinkRepublicanDemocraticIndependent
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee W  Withdrawn
Mike CrapoDavid RothScott Clevland
1Oct. 5, 2022Idaho Public TelevisionMelissa DavlinYouTubePPP

Results

2022 United States Senate election in Idaho[34]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanMike Crapo (incumbent) 358,539 60.68% -5.45%
DemocraticDavid Roth169,80828.74%+1.01%
IndependentScott Cleveland49,9178.45%N/A
ConstitutionRay Writz8,5001.44%-4.70%
LibertarianIdaho Sierra Law4,1260.70%N/A
Total votes590,890 100.0% N/A
Republican hold

By county

By county
CountyMike Crapo
Republican
David Roth
Democratic
Scott Cleveland
Independent
Ray Writz
Constitution
Idaho Sierra Law
Libertarian
MarginTotal
votes
#%#%#%#%#%#%
Ada87,57947.4676,65641.5417,5519.511,5610.851,1740.6410,9235.92184,521
Adams1,42570.8636718.251507.46562.78130.651,05852.612,011
Bannock14,48056.919,05435.591,2995.113771.482330.925,42621.3325,443
Bear Lake1,87183.381968.73873.88703.12200.891,67574.642,244
Benewah2,66276.8550314.521514.361103.18381.102,15962.333,464
Bingham9,49177.101,75014.227716.262231.81750.617,74162.8812,310
Blaine3,12132.216,00661.993363.47991.021271.31-2,885-29.789,689
Boise2,17263.1967319.5847813.91832.41310.901,49943.613,437
Bonner13,34864.295,46726.331,5027.233001.451440.697,88137.9620,761
Bonneville24,57969.367,86622.202,2486.345201.472260.6416,71347.1635,439
Boundary3,93975.7573214.084037.75931.79330.633,20761.675,200
Butte78378.8511411.48595.94282.8290.9166967.37993
Camas36771.129518.41295.62214.0740.7827252.71516
Canyon36,55862.7812,96122.267,29912.539761.684350.7523,59740.5258,229
Caribou1,73581.992059.691095.15542.55130.611,53072.312,116
Cassia4,61979.6958410.083986.871542.66410.714,03569.625,796
Clark16178.16199.22157.2894.3720.9714268.93206
Clearwater2,38976.5752616.861193.81722.31140.451,86359.713,120
Custer1,44772.0335917.871135.62793.93110.551,08854.162,009
Elmore4,38066.311,33420.2068810.421412.13620.943,04646.126,605
Franklin3,58883.343027.022575.971353.14230.533,28676.334,305
Fremont3,39980.1748011.322475.83872.05270.642,91968.844,240
Gem5,11867.601,07614.211,17315.491331.76710.943,94552.117,571
Gooding2,94172.6760915.053749.24912.25320.792,33257.624,047
Idaho5,74176.9196212.895357.171772.37500.674,77964.027,465
Jefferson7,39681.338369.195856.432232.45540.596,56072.149,094
Jerome3,50672.0780316.514218.651022.10330.682,70355.564,865
Kootenai42,11567.6713,40421.545,5158.868361.343690.5928,71146.1362,239
Latah7,48449.956,88145.923612.411330.891250.836034.0214,984
Lemhi2,69073.6267418.451754.79822.24330.902,01655.173,654
Lewis1,09780.7217612.95584.27261.9120.1592167.771,359
Lincoln97874.4322116.82765.78272.05120.9175757.611,314
Madison6,53378.9497211.745196.271952.36570.695,56167.198,276
Minidoka3,62376.8959212.563667.77992.10320.683,03164.334,712
Nez Perce8,98666.833,62826.986394.751000.74930.695,35839.8513,446
Oneida1,33083.071177.31996.18442.75110.691,21375.771,601
Owyhee2,37672.5541112.5538211.66672.05391.191,96560.003,275
Payette5,50972.611,07914.2283511.011251.65390.514,43058.397,587
Power1,42872.4142021.30713.60351.77180.911,00851.121,972
Shoshone2,85869.551,00524.461724.19431.05310.751,85345.104,109
Teton2,10044.812,37550.681433.05360.77320.68-275-5.874,686
Twin Falls14,91465.234,78020.912,42510.615642.471800.7910,13444.3222,863
Valley2,82954.201,97437.823306.32500.96370.7185516.385,220
Washington2,89474.2656414.473549.08641.64210.542,33059.793,897
Totals358,53960.68169,80828.7449,9178.458,5001.444,1260.70188,73131.94590,890
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Crapo won both congressional districts.[35]

DistrictCrapoRothRepresentative
1st64%24%Russ Fulcher
2nd57%34%Mike Simpson

See also

Notes

  1. ^ Nominee for state representative from the 29th district in 2012 and 2018; nominee for state senator from the 29th district in 2016; nominee for Idaho's 2nd congressional district in 2020

References

  1. ^ a b Alex Rogers, Manu Raju and Ted Barrett (January 27, 2021). "Retirements shake up 2022 map as Republican senators eye exits". CNN. Retrieved February 15, 2021.
  2. ^ a b Brizee, Alex (January 5, 2022). "Idaho's Mike Crapo will run for a fifth U.S. Senate term in 2022 midterm elections". Idaho Statesman. Retrieved April 10, 2023.
  3. ^ "Idaho Republican U.S. Sen. Crapo wins fifth term". Washington Post. ISSN 0190-8286. Retrieved November 9, 2022.
  4. ^ "BOURN, BRENDA - Candidate overview". www.fec.gov. Retrieved February 19, 2022.
  5. ^ "Natalie Fleming for US Senate". Facebook. Retrieved August 22, 2021.
  6. ^ "Natalie M Fleming for United States Senate - Idaho". Natalie M Fleming for U.S. Senate. Retrieved August 22, 2021.
  7. ^ Trotter for United States Senate (October 11, 2021). "FEC FORM 1 | STATEMENT OF ORGANIZATION" (PDF). FEC. Retrieved November 29, 2021.
  8. ^ a b c "These Senate seats are up for election in 2022". The Hill. January 21, 2022.
  9. ^ "Candidate Filing Report" (PDF). Idaho Secretary of State. Retrieved March 3, 2022.
  10. ^ "FEC FORM 2 STATEMENT OF CANDIDACY FILING FEC-1541914". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved November 6, 2021.
  11. ^ "GILBERT, JEREMY JOSEPH - Candidate overview". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved May 18, 2021.
  12. ^ "Statement from Jeremy Gilbert". Facebook.com. Jeremy Gilbert for U.S. Senate. November 16, 2021. Retrieved November 19, 2021. It's with a heavy heart that today I announce I will be suspending my campaign for the 2022 U.S. Senate seat in Idaho.
  13. ^ a b McFall, Caitlin (March 5, 2021). "Trump issues GOP endorsements in latest sign he is reentering political arena". Fox News. Retrieved March 6, 2021.
  14. ^ a b "Citizens for Responsible Energy Solutions Announces Second Round of Congressional Endorsements for the 2022 Election Cycle". cresenergy.com. Citizens for Responsible Energy Solutions. May 4, 2022. Archived from the original on August 21, 2022. Retrieved June 7, 2022.
  15. ^ a b "NRA-PVF - Grades - Idaho". nrapvf.org. NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on November 8, 2022.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link)
  16. ^ a b "NRA-PVF Endorses Sen. Mike Crapo in Idaho Primary". April 21, 2022. Archived from the original on May 14, 2022.
  17. ^ a b "Endorsed Candidates". proisraelamerica.org. Archived from the original on December 20, 2021. Retrieved January 21, 2022.
  18. ^ a b c d "OFFICIAL ELECTION RESULTS-2022 Primary Election". Retrieved May 30, 2022.
  19. ^ a b "Candidate Filing Report" (PDF). Retrieved April 10, 2023.
  20. ^ "CLEVELAND, SCOTT OH - Candidate overview | FEC". FEC. Retrieved November 28, 2021.
  21. ^ "2022 Senate Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 14, 2021.
  22. ^ "Senate ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
  23. ^ "2022 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved January 28, 2021.
  24. ^ "Idaho Senate Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
  25. ^ "Battle for the Senate 2022". RCP. January 10, 2022.
  26. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. May 12, 2022. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
  27. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". DDHQ. July 20, 2022. Retrieved July 20, 2022.
  28. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
  29. ^ "Economist's 2022 Senate forecast". The Economist. September 7, 2022. Retrieved September 7, 2022.
  30. ^ a b c d e f "Mike Crapo's Ratings and Endorsements". justfacts.votesmart.org. Retrieved November 7, 2022.
  31. ^ "2022 Candidates for Common Good". Vote Common Good. Retrieved November 1, 2022.
  32. ^ "2022 Stonewall Voter Guide". Stonewall Democratic Club. Retrieved December 5, 2022.
  33. ^ "Idaho Statesman". idahostatesman.com. Retrieved April 10, 2023. (subscription required)
  34. ^ "2022 General Election - OFFICIAL ELECTION RESULTS". State of Idaho - Elections Department.
  35. ^ Results. docs.google.com (Report).

External links

Official campaign websites